Iran Faces Escalating Water Crisis Amid Population Growth and Mismanagement

​Iran is currently confronting a severe water crisis that poses significant challenges to the nation’s stability. Dr. Sharona Mazalian Levi from The Alliance Center for Iranian Studies at Tel Aviv University has highlighted the gravity of the situation, noting that multiple factors have converged to bring several major provinces to a critical juncture. ​

The Iranian Energy Ministry recently announced that provinces including Tehran, Isfahan, Razavi Khorasan, and Yazd are experiencing acute water shortages. The Karaj Dam, a crucial water source for millions in Tehran and its environs, is reportedly at a mere 6% of its capacity, with 94% of the reservoir depleted. Such conditions not only present environmental concerns but also have the potential to incite civil unrest and disorder. ​

Several factors have contributed to this crisis. Dr. Mazalian Levi points to mismanagement within the water sector and a population surge exceeding 250% over the past five decades. This rapid growth has led to the over-extraction of natural water sources and aquifers, pushing them toward exhaustion. ​

Historically, following the 1979 revolution, Iran faced international isolation, prompting the development of a self-sufficient economic system. Religious leaders at the time encouraged a return to agriculture, significantly increasing water consumption, especially given the reliance on outdated and inefficient irrigation methods. Concurrently, Iran’s population expanded dramatically from approximately 37 million to around 90 million today. ​

The influx of millions of undocumented Afghan migrants has further strained Iran’s water resources, exacerbating the demand. Urban migration has intensified the situation, with rural inhabitants relocating to major cities such as Tehran, Mashhad, and Karaj, thereby placing additional pressure on urban water supplies. ​

International factors have also played a role. The Helmand River, originating in Afghanistan, is vital to Iran’s water supply. According to a 1973 agreement, Afghanistan committed to transferring approximately 820 million cubic meters of water annually to Iran. However, recent actions by the Afghan government to block this flow have intensified tensions between the two nations. ​The Jerusalem Post

The societal impact of the water crisis is profound. Authorities have implemented water rationing, often resulting in prolonged outages without prior notice. Residents in cities like Ahvaz have reported murky water and sediment flowing from taps. Water tankers are being dispatched nationwide, and medical facilities are grappling with water shortages, hindering surgical procedures and daily operations. ​

Agriculture, a cornerstone of Iran’s economy, has been severely affected. Farmers are abandoning water-intensive crops such as wheat and rice in favor of more drought-resistant varieties. Many are leaving agriculture altogether, migrating to urban centers in search of alternative livelihoods. This shift has led to a reduction in crop diversity, undermining the nation’s food security and resulting in shortages of essential produce. Consequently, food prices have risen, increasing reliance on imports—a precarious situation given Iran’s recent economic challenges and hyperinflation. ​

The environmental ramifications are equally alarming. Lake Urmia, once one of the world’s largest salt lakes, has experienced significant desiccation. Historically spanning about 5,700 square kilometers, its area has now diminished to less than 1,000 square kilometers. Factors contributing to this decline include the construction of dams on feeder rivers, reduced precipitation due to climate change, and over-extraction of groundwater. The drying of Lake Urmia has disrupted local ecosystems, leading to the disappearance of various animal species and an increase in salt and dust storms, which adversely affect the health of nearby residents. ​

As Klal Yisrael endures a time of difficulty and spiritual testing amidst the ongoing war in Eretz Yisrael, we are reminded that Hashem judges the nations of the world as well. The severe water crisis striking Iran—a country that openly threatens the Jewish people—can be seen as a manifestation of Divine hashgachah, where Hashem weakens those who seek to harm His nation. Just as water is a symbol of chessed, its withholding can reflect middas hadin upon those who pursue violence and arrogance.